Betting two-year-old race horses can be a tricky business. It’s reason why most punters fear betting on juveniles. In fact, the majority of punters steer clear.
There is one major reason why punters feel betting on debutantes is a bad idea. It’s simply because they don’t understand the subject matter. That’s the reality of the situation.
They say: ‘You’d have to be mad to bet a two-year-old debutante.’
Those comments are based on limitation. It’s hardly surprising. If you don’t put the work into something you read from a blank slate. Each to their own. However, there is an answer to every question. In truth, most things can be understood at a very simple level. That doesn’t mean it is a simple endeavour to get to that point. But if you know enough about any subject you can progress with an approach that is standardised, replicable and measured.
Success or failure can be measured in profit or loss.
Betting on two-year-old debutantes isn’t easy. And, to be fair, unless you know the score you are best to leave well alone. First, put in the work and learn the subject.
Without question, a horse has more chance of winning on its second start compared to its racecourse bow. It’s a statistical fact. True, a few trainers feature a higher strike rate and some do indeed achieve their best results on debut. However, if you are considering a global perspective it pays to consider betting on a horse on its second start is a much wiser decision.
Here are a few problems when betting on debutantes:
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Inexperience can lead to a slow start
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Debutantes often struggle with turning courses
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Trainers rarely want a horse to be given a hard race to wi
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Even the best horses get beaten on debut
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They are often under priced and no value
It is important to appreciate some trainers may run well on debut while others are poor. Also, many horse trainers don’t win at big prices. In fact, many win at short odds only. This is another reason why you need to assess the strength and weakness of each trainer in how they perform.
Horse trainers are creatures of habit.
Betting on debutantes isn’t for the faint-hearted. If you have hopes of making your betting pay then you need to understanding betting on debutantes is difference to any other.
Put in the work and it will pay dividends.